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Red38
209619.2
711211.1
973915.6
Blue74
267910.9
784520.8
974017.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575401001502003874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#32
19.20.9
22.021.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 1.6
7845
#23
20.81.7
23.525.2
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Second
9739
#39
15.60.9
14.113.2
Auto8.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 1.9
9740
#43
17.41.7
16.518.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Third
7112
#38
11.10.9
14.814.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
red by 0.3
2679
#31
10.91.7
8.910.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed