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Red40
194221.0
610416.6
157610.2
Blue86
169050.4
157435.9
59288.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491050204060801201401604086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#37
21.01.0
25.124.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
blue by 29.3
50.40.5
48.047.5
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
6104
#29
16.61.0
14.613.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 19.4
35.90.5
30.329.9
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
1576
#27
10.21.0
11.09.9
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
red by 1.8
5928
#30
8.40.5
9.99.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed82%Ensemble oddsEarned