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Red77
973818.1
433821.1
598724.8
Blue92
674027.4
223139.9
571522.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4899204060801201407792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#11
24.80.8
18.118.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
blue by 15.1
39.90.2
38.839.1
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
4338
#14
21.10.8
15.616.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 6.3
6740
#18
27.40.2
24.224.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
9738
#28
18.10.8
16.116.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 4.1
5715
#20
22.20.2
20.821.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsMissed