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Red47
673819.4
974017.4
706719.3
Blue59
59288.4
263033.6
267910.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55563040506070804759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#24
19.40.3
18.418.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 14.1
33.60.4
28.227.8
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Second
7067
#26
19.30.3
15.114.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
red by 8.5
2679
#31
10.90.4
10.610.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
9740
#43
17.40.3
18.217.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 9.1
5928
#30
8.40.4
9.49.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned