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Red53
711211.1
331621.4
441610.1
Blue88
610416.6
193726.0
157435.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4181020601001205388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#19
21.40.6
17.718.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 14.5
35.91.3
29.931.2
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
7112
#38
11.10.6
14.014.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 14.8
1937
#21
26.01.3
24.726.0
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Third
4416
#40
10.10.6
9.910.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 6.5
6104
#29
16.61.3
13.614.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned