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Red94
157610.2
169050.4
306521.5
Blue27
51359.9
194221.0
784520.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95592040801201409427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.5
47.548.0
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 29.3
1942
#37
21.02.0
24.122.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Second
3065
#33
21.50.5
24.424.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 0.7
7845
#23
20.82.0
25.223.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Third
1576
#27
10.20.5
9.910.4
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
red by 0.3
5135
#45
9.92.0
8.56.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed