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Red54
555420.9
674027.4
383526.3
Blue107
321122.3
223139.9
595137.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77101406012014054107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#18
27.41.3
24.423.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 12.5
39.90.9
39.139.9
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
3835
#17
26.31.3
25.824.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End3.7
blue by 11.6
37.90.9
30.831.7
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
Third
5554
#41
20.91.3
22.721.4
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 1.4
3211
#35
22.30.9
19.019.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed