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Red104
673819.4
263033.6
703926.3
Blue30
209619.2
717710.8
973818.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825020406010012014010430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.9
27.829.7
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
red by 14.4
2096
#32
19.21.3
20.519.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Second
7039
#25
26.31.9
24.426.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 8.3
9738
#28
18.11.3
16.915.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
6738
#24
19.41.9
18.120.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 8.7
7177
#44
10.81.3
11.910.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed