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Red78
333939.1
432020.3
599026.9
Blue38
706719.3
717710.8
223139.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93724060801001207838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.3
41.240.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
blue by 0.7
39.92.3
40.538.2
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
5990
#12
26.90.3
23.222.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 7.6
7067
#26
19.32.3
15.513.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
Third
4320
#16
20.30.3
17.617.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
red by 9.5
7177
#44
10.82.3
11.79.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsEarned