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Red69
308314.8
193726.0
165728.3
Blue84
610416.6
674027.4
209619.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786740601001206984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.0
27.327.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
red by 0.9
6740
#18
27.40.9
23.822.9
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
1937
#21
26.00.0
27.027.0
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End0.8
red by 6.8
2096
#32
19.20.9
24.023.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
3083
#36
14.80.0
15.115.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.3
blue by 1.7
6104
#29
16.60.9
14.513.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned