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Red114
598724.8
333939.1
673819.4
Blue61
674027.4
711211.1
194221.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93662040608010012014011461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.9
42.344.2
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
red by 11.7
6740
#18
27.40.5
25.124.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
5987
#11
24.81.9
19.921.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 3.8
1942
#37
21.00.5
24.223.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Third
6738
#24
19.41.9
18.820.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 8.3
7112
#38
11.10.5
13.713.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed