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Red79
706719.3
306521.5
610416.6
Blue100
321122.3
565421.5
433821.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5967020408010012014079100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#33
21.51.3
24.625.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 0.8
3211
#35
22.32.7
21.824.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Second
7067
#26
19.31.3
14.615.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
blue by 2.2
5654
#13
21.52.7
20.723.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
6104
#29
16.61.3
15.416.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 4.6
4338
#14
21.12.7
17.520.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsEarned