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Red103
563519.4
169050.4
973915.6
Blue61
973818.1
459015.6
383526.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966420408012014016010361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.41.2
50.952.1
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 24.1
3835
#17
26.30.4
26.526.1
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Second
5635
#15
19.41.2
17.919.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 1.3
9738
#28
18.10.4
15.515.0
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
9739
#39
15.61.2
14.115.3
Auto8.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Level
4590
#22
15.60.4
20.119.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsMissed