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Red82
157435.9
51359.9
706719.3
Blue77
157733.9
433821.1
717710.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626840801001208277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.7
33.335.0
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 2.1
1577
#10
33.90.3
29.629.9
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
Second
7067
#26
19.31.7
15.917.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
blue by 1.8
4338
#14
21.10.3
20.120.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Third
5135
#45
9.91.7
7.39.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 0.8
7177
#44
10.80.3
10.911.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed