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Red58
321122.3
563519.4
610416.6
Blue97
703926.3
561429.5
169050.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571321001502005897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#35
22.30.5
24.524.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 28.0
50.41.5
52.150.6
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
5635
#15
19.40.5
19.118.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 10.1
29.51.5
30.629.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Third
6104
#29
16.60.5
16.716.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 9.8
7039
#25
26.31.5
27.525.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed