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Red90
598724.8
157733.9
706719.3
Blue57
610416.6
555420.9
784520.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796740601001209057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#10
33.91.0
29.930.9
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
red by 12.9
5554
#41
20.90.5
22.321.8
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Second
5987
#11
24.81.0
22.423.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 4.0
7845
#23
20.80.5
23.623.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Third
7067
#26
19.31.0
17.618.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.8
red by 2.8
6104
#29
16.60.5
16.215.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned