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Red101
157435.9
307527.0
383526.3
Blue89
561429.5
674027.4
263033.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9795608012014010189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.2
35.035.2
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 2.4
33.60.4
32.632.2
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Second
27.00.2
26.626.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 2.6
29.50.4
29.128.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Third
3835
#17
26.30.2
26.126.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.5
End3.7
blue by 1.1
6740
#18
27.40.4
24.123.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
92%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed