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Red69
157610.2
599026.9
703926.3
Blue63
441610.1
459015.6
333939.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627920401001206963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#12
26.90.4
22.522.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 12.2
39.11.1
42.040.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
Second
7039
#25
26.30.4
25.926.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 10.7
4590
#22
15.61.1
17.015.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Third
1576
#27
10.20.4
9.59.9
Auto6.1
Teleop2.8
End1.3
red by 0.1
4416
#40
10.11.1
10.39.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsMissed