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Red91
223139.9
563519.4
59288.4
Blue55
974017.4
209619.2
306521.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76694060801009155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.6
41.041.6
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
red by 18.4
3065
#33
21.50.5
23.222.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
5635
#15
19.40.6
18.619.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
2096
#32
19.20.5
20.119.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7
Third
5928
#30
8.40.6
7.98.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 9.1
9740
#43
17.40.5
19.819.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed