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Red82
331621.4
571522.2
565421.5
Blue55
973915.6
308314.8
321122.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74592040801001208255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#20
22.21.1
22.823.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 0.2
3211
#35
22.30.3
24.023.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Second
5654
#13
21.51.1
23.324.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
red by 5.9
9739
#39
15.60.3
15.214.9
Auto8.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
3316
#19
21.41.1
19.120.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
red by 6.6
3083
#36
14.80.3
15.615.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed