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Red68
307527.0
59288.4
165728.3
Blue49
565421.5
223139.9
459015.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6894204060801001201406849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.1
29.029.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
blue by 11.6
39.92.2
41.639.4
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
27.00.1
26.826.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
red by 5.5
5654
#13
21.52.2
24.422.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
5928
#30
8.40.1
8.58.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 7.2
4590
#22
15.62.2
15.913.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsMissed