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Red68
571522.2
333939.1
321122.3
Blue89
432020.3
563519.4
673819.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104592040801201401606889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.4
40.939.5
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
red by 18.8
4320
#16
20.30.2
20.120.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
3211
#35
22.31.4
23.722.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 2.9
6738
#24
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
5715
#20
22.21.4
23.922.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 2.7
5635
#15
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned