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Red57
306521.5
308314.8
555420.9
Blue68
157435.9
598724.8
82238.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657302040801001201405768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#33
21.50.5
22.722.2
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 14.4
35.90.2
35.235.4
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
5554
#41
20.90.5
21.420.9
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 3.9
5987
#11
24.80.2
21.721.9
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
Third
3083
#36
14.80.5
15.314.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.3
red by 6.8
8223
#42
8.00.2
7.88.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsMissed