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Red118
459015.6
157733.9
595137.9
Blue117
599026.9
598724.8
674027.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978460120140118117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.7
37.438.1
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
red by 10.5
6740
#18
27.40.6
26.827.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
1577
#10
33.90.7
33.434.1
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
red by 6.9
5990
#12
26.90.6
26.326.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
4590
#22
15.60.7
15.215.9
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 9.2
5987
#11
24.80.6
24.224.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7