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Red106
674027.4
598724.8
599026.9
Blue92
223139.9
157435.9
331621.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7911220406010012014016010692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#18
27.40.7
26.126.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 12.5
39.90.1
40.039.9
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
5990
#12
26.90.7
25.626.3
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 9.0
35.90.1
36.035.9
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
5987
#11
24.80.7
23.524.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 3.4
3316
#19
21.40.1
21.521.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4