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Red93
571522.2
333939.1
169050.4
Blue76
595137.9
157733.9
459015.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13191501001502009376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.5
50.950.4
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 12.5
37.90.2
37.737.4
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
Second
39.10.5
39.739.2
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
red by 5.3
1577
#10
33.90.2
33.633.4
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
Third
5715
#20
22.20.5
22.722.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 6.6
4590
#22
15.60.2
15.415.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0