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Red102
674027.4
598724.8
599026.9
Blue82
433821.1
209619.2
193726.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8372406010012010282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#18
27.40.6
25.526.1
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 1.5
1937
#21
26.00.0
25.926.0
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Second
5990
#12
26.90.6
25.025.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 5.8
4338
#14
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Third
5987
#11
24.80.6
22.923.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 5.6
2096
#32
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7