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Red100
194221.0
263033.6
307527.0
Blue114
223139.9
157435.9
331621.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86110204060100120140160100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.2
33.333.6
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
blue by 6.3
39.90.3
39.740.0
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
Second
27.00.2
26.727.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
blue by 8.9
35.90.3
35.836.0
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
1942
#37
21.00.2
20.821.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9
blue by 0.4
3316
#19
21.40.3
21.321.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4