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Red103
223139.9
157435.9
331621.4
Blue108
599026.9
598724.8
674027.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11173406080100120140103108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.1
39.439.4
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
red by 12.5
6740
#18
27.40.8
24.625.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
35.90.1
35.435.4
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 9.0
5990
#12
26.90.8
24.124.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
3316
#19
21.40.1
20.921.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 3.4
5987
#11
24.80.8
21.922.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7