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Red114
459015.6
157733.9
595137.9
Blue108
610416.6
703926.3
561429.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9276204060100120140160114108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.6
36.036.6
Auto14.1
Teleop21.2
End2.6
red by 8.3
29.50.6
29.129.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Second
1577
#10
33.90.6
32.032.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End3.2
red by 7.5
7039
#25
26.30.6
25.926.5
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
4590
#22
15.60.6
13.714.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End2.0
blue by 1.0
6104
#29
16.60.6
16.116.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5