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Red61
306521.5
565421.5
784520.8
Blue86
165728.3
209619.2
193726.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688602040601001201406186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#13
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End4.4
blue by 6.8
28.30.7
29.128.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.4
End2.9
Second
3065
#33
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 4.5
1937
#21
26.00.7
26.725.9
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Third
7845
#23
20.80.1
20.820.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.0
red by 1.6
2096
#32
19.20.7
19.919.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.7