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Red110
331621.4
157435.9
223139.9
Blue68
610416.6
703926.3
561429.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11176406010012014016011068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.3
39.439.7
Auto16.0
Teleop19.9
End4.0
red by 10.4
29.50.2
29.729.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Second
35.90.3
35.435.8
Auto15.1
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 9.6
7039
#25
26.30.2
26.526.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
3316
#19
21.40.3
21.021.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
red by 4.9
6104
#29
16.60.2
16.716.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5