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Red121
571522.2
333939.1
169050.4
Blue66
307527.0
263033.6
194221.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131845010015020012166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.2
50.750.9
Auto16.8
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 16.8
33.60.4
33.733.3
Auto13.0
Teleop18.5
End2.0
Second
39.10.2
39.539.7
Auto15.6
Teleop19.8
End3.7
red by 12.2
27.00.4
27.126.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Third
5715
#20
22.20.2
22.522.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End1.6
red by 1.1
1942
#37
21.00.4
21.220.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End1.9