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Red41
15766.7
22308.8
333932.7
Blue28
93034.7
513510.1
674016.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060801004128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
21.722.0
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
red by 16.3
16.41.3
13.812.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Second
2230
#20
8.80.3
8.89.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 1.3
5135
#29
10.11.3
10.18.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
Third
1576
#27DQ
6.70.3
7.78.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
red by 2.0
9303
#26
4.71.3
11.19.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed