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Red13
26796.8
321115.5
331612.9
Blue64
97389.6
263015.9
599016.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304001020506070801364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#11
15.51.7
9.67.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 0.4
5990
#13
16.01.4
10.912.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Second
3316
#21
12.91.7
10.99.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
blue by 3.0
2630
#28
15.91.4
14.315.7
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Third
2679
#30
6.81.7
8.06.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 2.8
9738
#24
9.61.4
9.610.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed