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Red81
71776.6
595124.0
169040.3
Blue36
706712.7
571520.7
673818.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801001208136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.6
34.035.6
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
red by 19.7
20.72.2
19.116.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
Second
24.01.7
20.221.9
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End0.9
red by 5.5
6738
#12
18.52.2
19.116.9
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Third
7177
#23
6.61.7
6.38.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 6.0
7067
#18
12.72.2
14.111.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed