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Red35
432015.0
565420.7
306516.0
Blue52
157422.0
157722.0
81759.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394802060803552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#10
20.70.9
15.814.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 1.3
22.00.3
18.418.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Second
3065
#14
16.00.9
13.712.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
blue by 5.9
22.00.3
13.513.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Third
15.00.9
6.96.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 5.6
8175
#17
9.30.3
10.710.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned