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Red44
43197.6
157722.0
674016.4
Blue45
93034.7
15766.7
263015.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45360204060804445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.6
18.117.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 6.1
2630
#28
15.90.2
15.715.9
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Second
16.40.6
12.511.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
red by 9.7
1576
#27
6.70.2
8.18.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Third
4319
#25
7.60.6
9.28.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 2.9
9303
#26
4.70.2
9.89.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed