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Red29
22308.8
513510.1
565420.7
Blue35
71776.6
15809.9
157422.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37341020304050602935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#10
20.70.4
14.914.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 1.2
22.00.4
13.213.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Second
5135
#29
10.10.4
8.88.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
red by 0.2
1580
#19
9.90.4
9.19.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
2230
#20
8.80.4
9.18.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 2.1
7177
#23
6.60.4
8.89.3
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed