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Red76
331612.9
169040.3
513510.1
Blue30
15809.9
432015.0
706712.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50330204060801007630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.33.1
27.130.2
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
red by 25.4
15.00.2
8.78.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Second
3316
#21
12.93.1
7.610.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 0.2
7067
#18
12.70.2
13.513.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
5135
#29
10.13.1
8.411.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
red by 0.2
1580
#19
9.90.2
9.69.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed