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Red43
81759.3
599016.0
674016.4
Blue51
565420.7
673818.5
157422.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.4
11.812.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
blue by 5.6
22.00.0
13.613.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Second
5990
#13
16.00.4
16.817.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
blue by 4.7
5654
#10
20.70.0
14.514.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
8175
#17
9.30.4
10.911.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 9.2
6738
#12
18.50.0
18.118.1
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed