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Red58
306516.0
81759.3
673818.5
Blue23
331612.9
22308.8
263015.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060805823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
18.51.4
12.213.6
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
red by 2.6
2630
#28
15.92.6
16.814.2
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Second
3065
#14
16.01.4
14.015.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
red by 3.1
3316
#21
12.92.6
13.510.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Third
8175
#17
9.31.4
11.813.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
red by 0.6
2230
#20
8.82.6
14.011.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed