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Red40
26796.8
333932.7
706712.7
Blue46
308311.0
565420.7
595124.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060801004046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.9
18.417.5
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
red by 8.7
24.00.5
10.811.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Second
7067
#18
12.70.9
13.712.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 8.1
5654
#10
20.70.5
15.315.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
2679
#30
6.80.9
10.69.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 4.3
3083
#16
11.00.5
10.611.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed