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Red42
263015.9
306516.0
571520.7
Blue73
97389.6
169040.3
81759.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4662020801001204273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
16.716.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
blue by 19.7
40.31.5
32.534.0
Auto17.0
Teleop19.4
End4.0
Second
3065
#14
16.00.1
12.412.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End-0.5
red by 6.5
9738
#24
9.61.5
11.413.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
2630
#28
15.90.1
14.214.1
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
red by 6.5
8175
#17
9.31.5
10.311.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed