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Red27
43197.6
71776.6
194224.0
Blue88
157422.0
599016.0
26796.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38442060802788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.9
19.618.7
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
red by 2.1
22.01.7
15.517.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End3.0
Second
4319
#25
7.60.9
8.57.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.4
5990
#13
16.01.9
16.218.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
7177
#23
6.60.9
7.36.3
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 0.1
2679
#30
6.81.9
7.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned