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Red64
432015.0
571520.7
974012.0
Blue33
674016.4
513510.1
15766.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393602060801006433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.72.6
16.919.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.2
red by 4.3
16.40.0
12.912.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End-1.3
Second
15.02.8
10.012.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 4.9
5135
#29
10.10.0
10.210.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
Third
9740
#31
12.02.6
8.210.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 5.3
1576
#27
6.70.0
10.010.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed