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Red51
673818.5
321115.5
62306.3
Blue29
513510.1
81759.3
595124.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26520204060801005129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#12
18.51.9
16.918.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
blue by 5.5
24.01.4
21.620.2
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Second
3211
#11
15.51.9
10.011.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 5.4
5135
#29
10.11.4
10.28.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End0.1
Third
6230
#15
6.31.9
-0.31.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 3.0
8175
#17
9.31.4
11.810.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed