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Red47
331612.9
43197.6
333932.7
Blue42
71776.6
706712.7
565420.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5643020801001204742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.2
28.328.1
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End2.7
red by 11.9
5654
#10
20.71.2
20.719.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
3316
#21
12.90.2
13.012.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 0.2
7067
#18
12.71.2
11.910.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
4319
#25
7.60.2
7.77.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 1.0
7177
#23
6.61.2
7.76.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned