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Red11
15809.9
26796.8
15766.7
Blue52
308311.0
673818.5
432015.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060801001152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1580
#19
9.91.8
11.69.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 8.6
6738
#12
18.50.9
18.719.6
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End0.3
Second
2679
#30
6.81.8
7.35.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 8.2
15.00.9
12.913.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
1576
#27
6.71.8
10.08.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 4.3
3083
#16
11.00.9
10.411.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed