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Red61
595124.0
62306.3
43387.9
Blue38
71776.6
974012.0
263015.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293801020506070806138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.3
20.221.4
Auto10.5
Teleop12.6
End0.9
red by 8.1
2630
#28
15.90.4
15.816.2
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Second
4338
#22
7.91.1
5.16.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End-0.2
blue by 4.1
9740
#31
12.00.4
10.811.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
6230
#15
6.31.3
1.62.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 0.3
7177
#23
6.60.4
6.57.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed